                          ˿µϣ20080529գ

08.05.29, ӡµĺΪֺ
08.05.29, ˼¡ʼˡ
08.05.29, 齣ӡ̿ĿҲǺˮޣ
08.05.29, κ¡ĴǸְ˵
08.05.29, ѰĴʡУᵹԭ
08.05.29, passerbyɯ˹ͨйصļš
08.05.29, ˾ϡɯʡ˹ͨǶΪ
08.05.29, ΢ѧڶԵƺеֻ
08.05.29, cathayanǴ۵ʵʡ
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08.05.29, GabbroYongli Zhangة°˵ףѡˡ˵ͿһĵһЩ
08.05.29, Ƴл塱һ𣿡޼ѡ
08.05.29, scaleڡΪ롱һеġԭۡ
08.05.29, eddieʮֻĹá
08.05.29, Ⱥڽ롡뿪
08.05.29, ʱºᾭŭ

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¡ʯȻĵֺڶڿشʧ
ȻΪҥѶϢȫȵȸڹĴԶﴫ
ĳڵĳΣȻѣɳ֮ΪʱڡΪ
ֺĳЩΪ͹һ㹫У֪ʶӻרҵ
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1Ѵľܡ޷

ġѾȶӳյġȷĵƵ
ʱӦöӡغԱ߶棬ʦСǵ
𷽷ȫȻ֤˵ȫǼ٣˽Doug Copp  
Douglas CoppǸ˽֯ American Rescue Team International (ARTI)
ӳǸҴӳ˵ķ϶ûб֤ʵ
෴Ŀѧ˵ߴڶȻ֤ʵ
Чķ֮һ١ܡʱ»
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3Ǳѡ

׵ؽڵʺͻʺĵطȣȻǺ
ġǣеԾþסӦǨ
˵εġȱԹ֪ģĵطҲ
ǧ궼ٷϲشĿеģϲڵ
޴ڣԾĵҲȱȽǣձ̨壬
ǲձ̨أǷ񶨵ġʵ
಻̽ԤԤͬʱõͽķʩ
Ĺؼһζǿ񲻵ɾ޴ĸҲġ
ָͷչ

4ץ͵Ľ˰ʽɷúͱǶԵٴδݲ

еʵͼ˵ģ߱Ӧʵ¼
һУʵ˵ù˼źǣŹߵĹ
Ƕڿźץ͡쳣ԣ彫۵ǿڹڡ
ǿжæҽвɷãһϢĻ̸ܣʧȥ
˵һ߾ԮԾͷ̸˽ù¶̸ĸ˫ʹҴ̸
ǿþ˺̸ΣáӢۡܵȫĹְΧ
ھͷǰʹĲݡЩַűΪ淶ȥ
Զùڸо񣬷ԵشݲУ ʲô
ܣǿ𣿡ҲѣΪλҪ־֣
㵱ʱôģȫᶼڰǣʲôĸܣ
ô࣬󻹻нһľƻ𣿡 Ҳ֪
飬ֻ֪ЩĴ𰸶Զ׼һЩԮ
Աߡڶص⣬οЩʧȥ
˽ٺĺӡ¹ѡɷӡʿȥԹڽҿ˰̣Ҫ
Ǳֳǿ͡ж̬أ

5Ԥ⣬ָó

Ԥһʱɱ˲ˡСϼġɹȷ
͹ġۡڿѧϻǺײġֻҪ㶮һЩ
ͳƵۺͼҲÿɹȷԤһϵеġܡʱ䡣
ڡꡢд𡱵ġۡ߼Ͼܼ򵥷񶨡Ϸ
ĵطǺγɴ󺵻3أ˵½أɳĮǷ
Ƶĵطϸ֤ɼ˿λĴ

ĿǰԤʣ˾˵ֿԳ൱ڽд
֢ҽרҶͳͳһ߼Ӧûع鱾λ󵨹
ֵ֧ԤԤоݳڵĵѴо͹۲⣬ֵΣ
ȼͻԾ̶ȵȣڵΣĴ󱳾¼ǿ
滮ԼֺؽȵȣֵĵӲνءڽֵԱ
ȫƣ»йԶķɻԵĴϧ
ҲĳЩѹѧأѾȥѶȸԤ⣬
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6ĹһԳ־õ

һѸй˼бǹԡ˱
Ժ͸ȣǰδеصõͷźչʾڸԴ󱬷ͬʱչ
ĻһδѿԳΪù
Ľһ͡෴ĹʺƷҲԵõ־ã
ʱƣѳڵȫˣԵ⽫ˮ档
ڲ۵УŲþʵķŭƿʹú͹
飬Թź;ֲָȵȡڳĹЩԽ
õصõ赼йԣԵжǺò
۵Ķ˲仯ΪС磬ڿŲ񡢺ʮֻ̬ȶӹ
͸Աˡ̰ٽơʧʵʵ϶Ļ棩
֮󣬵˲˼ȷУĲپףͬ飡
ʵʱؼַΪӻԹķչ˺
ĽӻҪףǵĺǽ
ǷõĻ֮ϣǽе͵֮
ġǿԲȡܶ෽ȥı߹εĸţԲܶԼĹ
ºθвɡֻоЩܴʹһ
칫

(XYS20080529)

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ʼ

ߣ˼

Ԥ⣬ܳΪѧĽڣԶǵֵı
ǵͬȹΣԺһ˰աѰ

512յĴΪֹѾ68109ѣ19851ʧ١ǲ
ҪʣЩѵͬжΪ˻ʧȥأ˻
ʲôĽɫأ

շʱһ˿ʼڵ֣ΪʲôûԤ
һԵԤڴͬʱֻǷ׷Ħȭƣ
ͨĽ˵˵Իڣͼαרҵݰѹ
ڵ;13˿һƪ¡Ӧ
רҡ׼ȷԤǲܵģǵԻڽ
ز⣬Ҹָһ򡪡ҲӦðѼٵ
ֺϣʵʵؼ׼ȷԤ֮ϣӦòȡʵеԤ
ʩҪڵĽܴﵽ׼

Ҳ˰ѵ׼ȷԤ⵱ӱεıǷ
ġԤ㳤һΪԸˡⲻ֪Ǻǳ
ֹͣԻڣΪǿΣΪ˷ֹҲϷ
ΪѣѰڡֵҪоݡһ
Ԥѧ۷ǳҪΪŵܹԤ⣬Եѵ
ĲͬڹҲߣڸΣʱӦԣм
𣬵ѧҲڴѧĵ֪ʶΪҽѧķ
սԣżΣԶһ𲻿Ԥµģµ
ġ

ҪʵľǣֻߵѧڵǰǷ񾡵Ϊ
ṩҪΣ

ȣҪʣǷ˽Ĵ봨ܻᷢ
ִʵϣһǰпѧҹעƻԴ
Ŀˡ20077ڵġؿǡ־Уйŷ޺Ŀѧ
дϲĳѾһǿҵĺĵǱ
ΪԵԴ٣The faults are sufficiently long to 
sustain a strong ground-shaking earthquake, making them potentially 
serious sources of regional seismic hazard, the Chinese, European, 
and U.S. geoscientists wrote in the mid-July 2007 edition of the 
journal Tectonics. 

ڶؼûжԵؽѧУҽԺ糡⽨
ʩйУõʲôĽ

ؼû򵱵ѧУҽԺ⽨ʩ
мӹԵֿܵƻԴУõʲôĻظ

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мûжԱи罨ĿУ
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ھţĴʡֻʡʡûյ¼ֹ
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ʮĴʡֻʡʡǷ˽Ȿʡĳз
Խϴ籾δĿԣ

ʮһĴʡֻʡʡûжԱʡн
ѧУҽԺ糡⽨Ŀйһʷû
֯صֶԵؽУôõʲôĽ


ʮʡûʡݽʡнĿ
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ʮйֻ߸ûԽ׼ʵʩ
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ǱʧΨһЧʩʵԸ֮Ĳȴ
ʵĺ

ڵڵչϵʧְ˼ıأ
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оʧְְֻʧ֮Ҫ
ĲöȻɵĲöջҪö벻
ڵļලҪڵŬٳʵķɲþ

ţô׷Ҳûа취վǰ
ǶֺеΪŲʣôһλиʧȥ
в˻ôЩ߾ʹ֮ܵɵƲã
άĹ޶ȵرͲƲȫ

οϣ
http://xys.dropin.org/xys/ebooks/others/science/misc/wenchuan78.txt
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2008/05/080516-earthquake-predicted.html

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ĳɴйؿĿѧռ¡ҵǣٴα֪޷
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նйؽĿѧ֪ʶɡȫἸҪܡ
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ķӣƶ罨ѧˡ

չĿѧ֪ʶҲгɡ

ƪУҹĿ淶ĻҪĿ궼ûἰ
ӻԭĽǶ˵һĿǰ𹤳̷ȡõĳɾ͡¶Ϊ
ԭܷҲֻ·ԲĿˣҹ淶ĵһҳͰֽд
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šҶȳҶȵĻӾһѾȡ
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壬ϲ㡢͸Ƚ棬ǸӵķǾʶʣڴĹ
УΪʵĵؿǷ䡢䡢˥ȸӵã׿
ԽƵҲ泡صĲͬͬͬģĽʻѡطŴͬƵʵ
Σ൱һͨ˲Ӷı𲨵׿Խڡ⣬Ӳʯ
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ΪǵƵʵĲͬԵõӰ죬2040ѧ
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ϣҲװһҺճĿǰҹܶУԺ
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Ǹ֮һ֤ʵһЧġ

˵ĵǸˣѵȴûκǸ⡣ǰһķ
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쳣

ߣsparrowshi
http://sparrowshi.spaces.live.com/blog/cns!4AEF878459A92411!1450.entry

ΪĴ磬һevent forecastӡνĵԤ
ô¡Prof. ChuͰƵӽˣҵȥڲ
ʶ

ƣͨоĹϵɹԤɽ봨
𡣵ǣλϿѧ֮ǰϸĶµargument

ҪõProb(|쳣)ͨ쳣Ԥ𡣹
ǵǣͨо֪Prob(쳣|)ǳ֮ߣж֤Ϊ
ǡɽ֮ǰ꣬ơ

һ꼶ͳƿϵıҶ˹ʽǣ

Prob(|쳣)=Prob(쳣|)*Prob()/prob(쳣)

Ǽ쳣Ǵ󺵡һЩĳصannualֵ磬
Prob(쳣|)=0.9ǳ֮ߣƻԵĸ൱͵ģ
Prob()=0.001ǧһ(й󲿷ֵطǧҲһ)󺵵
Ƶʱȵߵö࣬Ϊprob(쳣)= 0.2һ

Prob(|쳣)= 0.9*0.001/0.2=0.0045

Ҳ˵ùİ취200ΣԼ˵һΡ
Ϊ0.0045ĸʣü¶˯ȴ٣ƺ

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ҵʿ˵Ĺ 


http://blog.ospod.com/User?tf=loginfo&ebcontent_id=119742&ebuser_id=zhuge_buliang

ĲʹúܶȥֵֵĲΪⲢƽĿǰԭ
δȷᶨԤ׼·Ԥʧ
ҵļҲڵϣܱҲ𣬼ϸĸϵͳ
͵ϵͳϵܽлϵͳ˵һЩڵ顣

ǵҵĴ飬ǰסԤӦǰ׾ǹ۲
ǰһЩġĻѧģڵʱ¼ѧ͵
Ųȣȷ𼶺ԴԤͨǰ׺Ͳݣһε
ԤӦ˵ֳռ鱨ָӵ쵼ǳ⣬ڵ
ֵʿ˽Ϊǰ׽ǿ,Ҳûʲôãܿ
ѧҲҪҵ񣬵Ǳ쵼ӲΪЩݣ쵼
ҲûȤԤϵͳڲΪǰ׺õ㣬Ҳޣͨ
ΪһԤǳ׼ԤͿ׶ˣû
ǻ׼ȷģֻʲôʱ׼˵õձǰ60
Ԥʲôأ԰ѵúжˣ⸽ӵѡӦڵ
ǰרҵǶ쵼ߺָӾ,ϵͳڲԱΪ
ڵѧķ룬Ƿǳ쵼Ҳܶྭѣˣ
иרǸоõ㣬ЩԽҰǵ绰øָӴ
ͺס

಻࣬ܶ࣬ȥй֣иͶܳ24Сʱ
ȫĵͼĵطͻÿŶ78
ר˵ں̵Ĵɽ̵ĵط𣬾Ǵţ
ѡܰȫסĵطֻձ⣬Ǿ̽ڵ
ϵĲھӣܷȡһЩֶΣշԲս֮
ںܺңʹ˹ڵͼ豸ҲϻͻȻձ
ĳ..., ר˵ԭΪû˶֪ԭ

йŴĵˮƽȽҶ֪ضǣ˵׼8ڣһ
𣬶Ӧϵͭϸĵ˻ʣʲôã
ͨѶ豸УǧĵҪһ£ض
𲨣һЩӮþʱ䣬ҲԷֹŴֻ
֣ҲζŶĳͷЩ쵼̫ϲϢ¼ǿ
ʹһרңضô֪巽λ֪һ޷ȷ
Դ˵ܣҪôһضǣγɸ̨󣬿ͼҪ
ôһЩ֪ʶǻ֪Ŵͼ׼ȷ
ǹͼλ׼ȷǰᣬ˵׼ȷŴ
Ͳࡣ

йִˮƽȽΪǹҶԻѧͶÿже
֣˵ǾûãûôӴĹģ󲿷
֯ģǰ켸̨άǵĹҾַ
ϢϹ㣬ѧƺȣ۸죬۵ˮƽߵ
жͶٵĹ۲ݺڵĹ۲Ͷ̨
࣬۲ݾȫ׼ȷԸǮԺܶйٿ
йʵ֯ЭĸϯϯҲȽ϶ࡣ

𵽵ܲԤר˵ܣǱԤ׼Ԥ󣬰
ҵ˵ڷԤĻʧȵ󣬵Ȼ
쵼ܿġСʱҥÿҶơƿ
ͻȻҶܣº֪ȷʵˣΨһ
ԱΪӶ¥̨ȥˤȡ

һܣûзӵĵطܿ϶Ƿϻڼ
¥ϣϴּܡǸطռС֧ǿˮȻ
࣬һˮԻ710죬ûֻ3졣Ͽ
ܲϴּ䣬굽棬ܵõ¥⵱ȻͲϴּ䡣

˵ʵĹ£ҵĵܵдγһסǾƵ꣬Լ
Ҫǰ̨磬ڶϱˣҡ˵ǾƵ
綼ҡ֪ǵˡ

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˾żˡ俴Ϸĩ桷

ߣ

˵һеĴͳԵݻľʯƳΣϱ϶
֣Ȼõ̻Ϊ䣬ڲӷԱʾ
İɶȻЧúͬͳҽЧһʮֿɣ
ȻϲװϷĴڡ˾ҾصҲס

һżıǩֵĲϿν
ۣ

1ϱծ˼йֱܵͨծ
ĳըʹݣײҷɻԶвָ
ȨԼݻѧڲ壬һзǧö
׼Ρ

˴ֵ=⣬ͨ

2üһֲضûûˣԭβڷ
˳Ǯʦϱ˼Σû
ԲΪȨΪûС߹ʶ
ǰͷɽɽͷ˾ѩɽʨ췢棬Ҳ
ҵĴҲΣûɡ߹ʶ

˴ֵ=ֲ֧ض

3ˮ֮㡰ۡ㡰Ͷ㡰ȥйҲûɶ
Σûɡ߹ʶ

˴ֵ=̨

4|񺺡ŦԼͷֹΪ
Ҳ|дΣûɡ߹ʶ
ˣұΪз̵Ѻƽ֣ʱ
꣬ɽ𣬲Ūô컷ɶ֡
 ֡дôû¶ʲôεġ˶Ʒ
ҡֵĴ˼ҡȥˣüһ˼Ҹйβ
йٲɶˡ

˴ֵ=а̺ҽ

Ҳ֪˾ΰֵһйϹġֵ֪
ƽȣ˵ĻȨ
ҵƶȡһ֪ǻЩֵ
ҵȨԴڣȨܵලƺ⡣

˿ʹָ᲻µվϲʿȥսЩ
ȻûмĸΪ¶£෴ԽԽⱣ
ҵĵزʹ֮࣬˼յĽ֮ŷֻе
ֵҲΪ׷Ѱļֵֻ˵ƽȺɵõأֻȨõ
ලƺ⣬˿ϱ¶ЩбĿܣǵĺ
ȨǲӬá

Ҳ֪˾ΪʹֵΪƳ
ƳҲڷôһ˾
شС㱻ȰʱǷҲΪҪشС˽п
شС㣿ѵΪֳԷǾ͵ȥʺ

ҲҹĶֵڷ
֪Ϊ˶ֵƳ磬ǵĹѧĻʢ
ڵõıĹϵľǾ
ֵԲҺθɣֵֻ֪õ磬
ôҵĹҵͬܵõ档

־֣⽨ūĵȨҲ飬
㲻ʲôִΪ񡱡Ϊ˾ڲԶĹȥǶԹҵ
廹һ׼һ׼רߡǷΪ㡾Ϊ
͵ı֣Ƿ֣ھʱǷûӣ
û棬ֻڡǶȽͨǰӦ٣Ȼ
Ȼأֻ˶蹦̵£һ־Ը߳¹꣬Ԯ
飬ԶȫͬʱΪϰ壬Ե
ˣ200ʬ壬Ĺ£Ϊɨӣ
ɱ죬Ȼҵ飬ѹ޳Ԯרҵ֮
ѾԮʱ䣻ֿȭĶھˣװĶȥڽ⣻
ΪѵǶֵȨ磿ϱǸԭӦ
ƨֵĺ컨ϣΪֵ

ԸǰյĵǰĿѣǰִ
ֵĹܴȡľǳǵỹ
㻺ʱȥƹͽֵҪȵѷһ̡

ǣ̳߷˷߸ţҿܾ͵ƨŹˣΨ侴
˾Բ֮˿ϱ˼Ѵ
ڣשȻ֪ıһ˵˼жѣϣ
ֵ̳˵δ˵ĵطΪ˵˾
ֻΪ˱ҵǳԹߡ

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Yongli Zhangة°˵ףѡˡ˵ͿһĵһЩ

ߣGabbro

Ӹ¸ѹʵʯѧĽǿǿ𡱺
ȷģʵӦʱҪʵʵ

ӵͼϿиǿȴĻʽᾧңڱനǿ
ȱȽСĳңǵرǿĽؿɺ
ѧҪ¸ѹʵ顢ϵѧۺжϺͽ͡Ϊ½
ؿ򡢺򶼸߶ȷǾȵģرĲһ¡Ϊ
ֲڵرһ3-5ǳҽᾧγɵĽᾧԼ
ʯ¸ѹ·ãγɱʽᾧң

Ĺؼڣ𣨰𣩶10-20ĵطЩ
طʲôʯҪо϶ǵرҡ

ݷ̽Ȼڲ˹ķ䲨ó
ؿǲٽṹɽڣ0-3ڣݲPٶ4.6-5.2/
룻5-8ڣݲPٶ6.0-6.15/룻8-18ȣ
Pٶ6.4/룻18-20ڣݲPٶ5.9/룻20-45
ڣݲPٶ6.6-6.8/루ͼ

ڸ¸ѹ²õݲPٶȽ1ϵ
Ϊɽ0-3ǹ-ң3-8
ǳңƬࣩϵϵԪŽ磩8-18
ĦǿȶܴĻңرһ£ӳ㵽
ന棬һȶʯĳңҪ
һȣ18-20ǵٵļд㣬ǳĴԶϲ죬
ϲΪԱļдη
ϲд塣

ɽ෴ɶƽԭ15ϣֲطﵽ20ݲ
Pٶ5.6/.ˣɶƽԭ0-1520
ңɶƽԭһȲִ𣬵ǳɶƽԭϲ
ûг¶ڵرĶϲ㣩20²ȫųĿܡ 

നرƻǳصԭ򣬵ѧҸݵ𲨵Է
ĶϲǷֶѵģֱӳͱγĵرλơ

ĿǰǿҪڱα϶ӦȫͷţӦ
״̬ҶϲչͬʱڱѾǿ
Ȼرĳң10-20Ȼ߱ǿ

1 ¸ѹʵõҪ½ؿʯP
ʯ	Vp(km/s) 
ǳ	6..0-6.1
Ƭ	6.20
		6.61
	6.51
	6.66
	6.94 
б	6.98 
	8.19

2 ݵ͸¸ѹʵóĽƲɽĵؿʯɺͶӦ

km	km/s	Ʋʯ	С	
0-3	4.6-5.2	-ңT-O		
3-8	6.0-6.15	ǳңƬࣩϵϵԪŽ磩		
8-18	6.4		ܼ	
18-20	5.9	ٲ㣨д		
20-45	6.68-6.8	--һб		
45	8.0--8.1			

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л塱һ𣿡޼

ߣƳ

Ķ壬Լǲܸ¶ġҪǲʣ
֪ʲô϶ͻ壬ȴǲܡ 
Walter Bagehot֪ⷬ塱һ壬Ȳ
Ҳûʵ塣

һ㣬ŮǡĴ񡱶ǡĴ񡱣
ƵǴĴչĴģһƪµ
Ҳ֡޼ѽ˵ĴӦաΰ
й衢ӵݽдΪĴ
һ壬ӦöΪ衢ӣΪⲢ
仰ԭ⡣

һʶй56壻Ȼй56ҲͳΪл塣
ô⣬лǲһأĴл
һ֣ôĴǲҲлأʵ߼վ
סŵģΪ˵κһйˣˡ
衢ӵʵ壬ǻԭӡ裬
ֻ䶯νĻԭָԴʷϰߵԭ
򡣲Ĵǲһ塱ԭӡĴ
ӦΪӡ

ˣҪ˵ҵд߼ǾûжλŮӵĻ
ǷڻԭĴ񣬶û֤Ĵ
һ塱һα⡣

ΪŮƵ֣

ĴǴҺãһһͨСŮ
ɡҶǾ˵ĴɣҲһô˵ʾͬ˵ϣİ
Ҳ˵ϣеֻĸоǲǵĴ̫ˣ
Ĵ˶öˡǱ߶̫˾Ƕ
Ǿ¶ֱ˵ѽû¶ʲôϵʲǫ̨̂
궼ɫSHAIϸҳûɫʲô
ѽ.ĴѰɣȸ˵Щ˵أ
Ҿֻ˵һ˵ô˵أɣǸǸҸ棺
͸ϽɣǶˣͦҲͦǰɣ

ŮĻʹˡһĴ
жԿζĴʾ䣬ĶԿΪ˼ǿԿЧ
ʹ˴ֹ롢ԿΪʵ
ҲԶˡʱΪǷ
ԭǣ浽¼ľ֤ġʹ
ǡӦá

ں˱ӵ¼ûо˶¸𣬺ҵ׷
Ρһ˵˱¼ûдʹŮĴ
¼Ҳ

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ڡΪ롱һеġԭ

scale

ͿġΪ롱һģ¼Ϳģˡ롰ķ
пȥûͦеġᵽһԭ򡰣ֵ
ĵط
 
Ϳȷݵԭеڶǣԭ򣺵רõģԭ
һԭ򡣵֪봨˶롱Ϊwn

ĴڱϵϽͨҪһĸ
󲿷ֶһġĴͨĶӦһĹɣҲ
ڲٵ⡣Ϳĵԭõ˶ġ롱ȷͨķ
ӦþĴӦͨȥвĹ
Ӧ΢Щס

ͨ﷨ƽһƽȥ
ĸĴҲĸȥͨһ
ࣻһͨĸͬҼΪ


һ£ͨһĴһӦɣsong1Ǹ
ţðִӦϺxia1ݣku1
٣kou1ȣĴҲһͨĴӦ
kou3gong3gong3£du3֣Ĵͷ
ͨĴӦţdu4ۣkou4fan4֣
ĴͨĶĴĴӦhuo2
lao2Ȼran2֡

һĶӦܶӦܶ֡ҲŲٵ⡣ޣku1
fa3Ѧxue1ѩxue3Ѫxue4ѣtie4أtuo4
ǣpo4ࣨwa4֣wo4գwo4wu4xu4֣
ĴǴƣrao4ͣren4֣Ĵ⣬ͨ
һЩͬͬĶ֣Ĵֻһѹya1ya4
Ĵ

Ĵ롱ַǴٵӿͨĸпܶ
ӦȥĻ٣ԡ롱֣ĴĴ
ΪֻӦͨĶϽ

ͿݵϽԼһѹͷϣܸϽռxys
Դ¡

(XYS20080529)

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ʮֻĹ

ߣeddie

Դӵվڴ˵ʮֻܶԾոߴ
֮ʮĹѡʮոʮֻдѯʣϵ
Żţ֪ǷڷæΪЧʲߡ˵ǵĹʾ
ֻаٷ֮ţܹҲٷ֮ʮһ

Dear Eddie:

Thank you for contacting the American Red Cross to share your concerns. 
The information you received is completely false.

Regarding the International Response Fund, up to 9% management and 
governance costs are applied by the American Red Cross, with at least 
91 cents of every dollar going directly to the International disaster 
relief efforts.

At least 89 cents of every dollar donated to the American Red Cross 
goes directly to disaster relief efforts. These services include 
providing shelter, food, financial support, health and mental health 
counseling, maintaining a 24-hour toll-free hotline, costs associated 
with Emergency Response Vehicles, and other assistance to those in need. 
No more than 11 cents of each dollar is used to cover the management 
and general expenses associated with operating the American Red Cross. 
These expenses include items such as legal services, insurance, 
technology support, public information and awareness, stewardship 
costs such as audit fees, fundraising expenses, and other management 
costs.

The goal of maximizing donations is ambitious, and the Red Cross 
continues to rise to the challenge as evidenced by being named a 
"four-star charity" by the non-profit site Charity Navigator for the 
fifth consecutive year.

Found online at www.charitynavigator.org, Charity Navigator is an 
independent charity evaluator that provides unbiased ratings of a huge 
number of charities spanning the spectrum of causes to be supported. 
The non-profit group was founded in 2001 on the premise that, while 
Americans are generous and wish to make charitable contributions, many 
are unsure where to start.

Sincerely,

American Red Cross Public Inquiry/R

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Ⱥڽ롡뿪

2008-05-29

봨Ӱ죬УطϾ528գ
طָӲٴͨ㲥ӷͨҪȺ룬
ίҲǼǹԱǷͶ׿֮վѾ
ͣȥܱĿͳĿǰóվѽ֧߳Ԯתƹ
߷ʱ˽⵽ѾнȺڳ뿪

ͨ𳵰ȫ

ߴվ˽⵽һ磬վѾͳﰲרн
·ߵ·ְԼ4000תƣ3㣬
2000˳רгسǡ

磬վܶŰÿŶӵȺ򷢳
վҦվ߼˵27730֣վϾͽӵ
Ҫ󾡿תƼС80ˡҦվ28翪ʼ
ܹ˾͸𣬽ͣͨԼȥ
䶼صİ߿ͳ

ҦվܣվϻѷءԼĴԪȵصĿͳ
Ⱥڡ߷ʱվѾ߿ͳ110Σ
еȵתȺ2900ˡ˽⣬вȺԷ˳⳵
س롣4ʱ3201ҽԺ3ȻҽԺ8ΣػߡĿ
ǰؽͨȲҲɳԱǰվЭתơ

Լ

28磬سǲɷʱڲȺתƣͷ
ˡԱȼǰ٣˴ɫҴҡ

磬سǵĸȷҪȺͨ棬سǼ
š˶ɺӴŵȽֵĵط࣬ϵĵҲֹͣ
Ӫҵ

309ʡط򷵻ʱһ·ϳż;ʵĻ
⣬δȥسǵĳˮĽͨҪͻȻ÷ǳС

طָӲṩʾȺͬʱ
ؾڵ·ִڸڣһɲ׼سǣȷ
ȫ

ί֪ͨǿ

28磬ؼίٴŷ֪ͨҪšص
λԱɲְظλҽԺˮ˾ȺȺϢ
ϢصҪλְҪϷأ֪ͨƣȺڰȫʱָɲΥ
ΥΪϴӿ촦(ɼ ź)

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߷úºᷢӦ䷽⡱
ºᾭŭ

 麣
20080529սʱ

ϺƼ޹˾(¼ƺӹ˾)ǰල
־ٱƴ¼Źɷ޹˾(¼¼)ӡƷ䷽
⡱ݼ˽⣬ӹ˾¼ڽաɽʡĴ۹˾
¼µºϵбƷ޼ĺΪλᷴĿ
ɳ𣬲ֵԲõĵز

ڶͶߴʾ

ݺӹ˾ܲᲩܣӹ˾¼ġ¡
Ʒʼ2004ꡣ20052£ù˾¼¼³
紦ǩһݡӪЭ顷ЭԼӹ˾Ƕ¼
ºὺҡϵСƷΪɽʡͽʡ

˵ʵڻǩЭǰ½ӵһЩߵķӳʾ
Ʒ岻ʡߵȲӦᲩʾʱǾʹ
⼰ʱ¼ŽзԷظ˵ЩǸҲܲƷ
ġǣӹ˾ͶߵĽͣеĻ˿Ϣˡ
ǣ˺󼸸ڣͶߵԽԽ֢࣬״ڳڷº
ᡢʹ缰ָεȣǸеԡ

һߵͶ߲Ҫ˻ѹһ¼赭дĽ
벻Ը˻ķӦʹӹ˾ΪѡᲩ˵˾߲㾭ۺ
һƷ⣬Щνٵ˾̫£
Ӻߡ𺦹˾Ϊܸɡ200556·ݣӹ˾
ϲºƷͬʱ͹ڶλרҼйزȡϵ̽ѯ
ᵽʲôڷúౣƷǷк

ͼú鷴Ŀ

2005831գ¼ŵ뺣ӹ˾ֹЭ飬ܾջغ
ӹ˾д1260ºὺҡ

200747£ɺӹ˾ͼĲͬŵºὺҼ鱨
̳ϺԤҽѧоԺйԤӪʳƷȫ
ɽʡԤ2003桶ʳƷۼ淶
Ʒм京ܻͪ߰(˲߰Re)ά CάE
ɷ֡ӹ˾е⣬Ϊ¼걨׼º
ңҪԭΪ̶СͺڶͨùƵõĺ
Ʒвܺдܻͪ˲γɷ(һ˵Ķܺ
˲߰ɷ)

20078·ݣӹ˾ݴɽʡмԺϣ״
¼ŵºƷʵ䷽걨׼䷽Ҫԭϲ
ΥˡʳƷ취ʳƷйع涨ҹʳƷ
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